Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95): Satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located about 1500 miles east of the Windward Islands continues to become better organized. Environmental conditions appear favorable for further development of this system, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form in the next day or so while it moves quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. This system is expected to be near or north of the northern Leeward Islands on Thursday and Friday, and interests there should continue to monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days…high…90 percent.

Yucatan Peninsula and Southwestern Gulf: A trough of low pressure currently moving across the Yucatan Peninsula is expected to emerge into the Bay of Campeche during the day on Tuesday. The system is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and some slow development of this system is possible over the Bay of Campeche before it moves inland by the middle portion of this week. Regardless of development, areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and southern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days…low…10 percent.